Наукова періодика України | Naukovyi visnyk Natsionalnoho Hirnychoho Universytetu | ||
Kolesnik V. Ye. Determination of trends and regularities of occurrence of emergency situations of technogenic and natural character in Ukraine / V. Ye. Kolesnik, O. O. Borysovs'ka, А. V. Pavlychenko, A. L. Shirin // Науковий вісник Національного гірничого університету. - 2017. - № 6. - С. 124-131. - Режим доступу: http://nbuv.gov.ua/UJRN/Nvngu_2017_6_20 Purpose. Identification of trends and patterns of emergencies in Ukraine for their further forecasting and prevention. Methodology. It was based on the system analysis of natural and man-made emergencies, with the estimation and forecasting of the frequency of their occurrence, based on the use of statistical analysis of dynamic rows and the construction of their trends. Findings. It is established that the number of technogenic emergency situations in Ukraine is 1,5 times higher than the natural one. Meteorological emergencies are at the first place among all the subclasses of natural emergencies - an average 22,1 % of cases annually, the second place is associated with fires in natural ecological systems (10,8 % of cases), and there are geological and hydrological emergencies at the third place (5,0 and 5,1 % respectively). It is determined that each technogenic emergency situation incurs losses of 0,45 +- 0,17 million UAH, and each emergency situation of natural character on the average leads to losses at the level of 42,97 +- 23,97 million UAH. It is proved that 97,83 % of material damage to the economy of the state is caused by nature disasters, and the rest - by technogenic emergency situations, the specific losses from the last one tend to grow. Originality. For the first time, on the basis of analytical studies, it has been established that there is a close growing linear relationship between the number of natural disasters and number of technogenic emergency situations, which is described by the equation y = 1,3x + 18,34 (R<^>2 Цитованість авторів публікації: Бібліографічний опис для цитування: Kolesnik V. Ye. Determination of trends and regularities of occurrence of emergency situations of technogenic and natural character in Ukraine / V. Ye. Kolesnik, O. O. Borysovs'ka, А. V. Pavlychenko, A. L. Shirin // Науковий вісник Національного гірничого університету. - 2017. - № 6. - С. 124-131. - Режим доступу: http://nbuv.gov.ua/UJRN/Nvngu_2017_6_20. Якщо, ви не знайшли інформацію про автора(ів) публікації, маєте бажання виправити або відобразити більш докладну інформацію про науковців України запрошуємо заповнити "Анкету науковця"
|
|
Всі права захищені © Національна бібліотека України імені В. І. Вернадського |